TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:49 PM EST
Kalshi
The upcoming football game between San Francisco and Seattle features multiple markets centered around individual player performances, specifically focusing on the number of touchdowns each player might score throughout the full game, including any overtime periods.
All markets are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the opening kickoff unless the player records the required number of touchdowns. If the player participates in at least one play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half participation. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion. Passing touchdowns do not count as touchdowns scored by the passer, and team defense/special-teams selections settle on actual touchdowns without the player participation exception applying to them.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the game and the potential for value in either market.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the San Francisco versus Seattle game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be able to collect on their winning positions based on the final result of the game.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the San Francisco or Seattle teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to favor either passing or running plays, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding team matchups or player performance could lead to adjustments in the perceived probabilities of different outcomes.