TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a football game, focusing specifically on how many times each team successfully tackles the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether specific thresholds of these tackles, known as sacks, are met by either team during the match.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team in the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either team (e.g., 2+, 3+, up to 6+ sacks). A market resolves to Yes if the specified team achieves the designated number of sacks or more. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from the count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing perceptions of team strengths, injuries, or even weather conditions. It's common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than sportsbook lines, as traders continuously update their assessments based on available data. Examining these differences can offer insights into market efficiency and potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the aggregated belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential for various sack totals. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the officially recorded number of sacks by each team during the specified game. Verification will rely on official NFL statistics and reporting, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances after the resolution process is complete. The market’s resolution is tied to the official game statistics.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to resolution. Unexpected injuries to key offensive linemen or defensive players known for generating sacks would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions favoring strong pass rushes, could also impact trading activity. News regarding coaching strategies or adjustments to offensive schemes could further influence trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team morale or internal conflicts could contribute to price movements in this market.