TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks Christian McCaffrey's rushing yards in the San Francisco vs Seattle game, with payouts that increase exponentially as his yardage rises. Rewards accelerate significantly with higher yardage brackets.
If Each Yes contract pays per rushing yards by Christian McCaffrey in the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. Each 10 rushing yards increase the payout by the following schedule: 0–9 yards, $0.0000; 10–19, $0.0001; 20–29, $0.0010; 30–39, $0.0033; 40–49, $0.0080; 50–59, $0.0156; 60–69, $0.0270; 70–79, $0.0428; 80–89, $0.0640; 90–99, $0.0911; 100–109, $0.1250; 110–119, $0.1663; 120–129, $0.2160; 130–139, $0.2746; 140–149, $0.3430; 150–159, $0.4218; 160–169, $0.5120; 170–179, $0.6141; 180–189, $0.7290; 190–199, $0.8573; and 200 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of how each type of market adjusts to new information. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new developments emerge leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The current price reflects the probability of that total occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, injury reports, and other factors, leading to a dynamic pricing environment. The market depth indicates how much volume is available at different price points, offering insight into potential price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total rushing yards for the San Francisco versus Seattle game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official game statistics, as recorded by the NFL. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total rushing yards will receive a payout, while those holding contracts predicting a different outcome will not. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain or snow are predicted, could also influence the rushing attack strategy. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive line personnel could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news about player availability or team strategy will likely cause fluctuations in the price of contracts until the game begins.