TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:51 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves multiple markets centered around player performance metrics in a specific football game. Each market evaluates whether a designated player achieves a certain number of receptions during the match. All markets are resolved based on official game statistics, with specific provisions for players who are active but do not participate in any plays.
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified player records the stated minimum number of receptions in the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on the actual number of receptions recorded during the game. All markets are independent, and each has its own threshold for resolution. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions on team performance. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the San Francisco versus Seattle matchup. Analyzing both can offer a more comprehensive view.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final reception totals for the San Francisco and Seattle game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will serve as the basis for determining the winning contract. The resolution will reflect the total combined receptions achieved by players on both teams during the game. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing game, could also shift the odds. Unexpected news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could also play a role. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the matchup between San Francisco and Seattle could drive trading activity and move this market.