TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 21 points in an upcoming professional football game between San Francisco and Seattle. The outcome depends purely on the scoring progression during the match, without considering the final score. If the game is delayed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it still counts; otherwise, pricing adjustments apply.
The event determines whether San Francisco, Seattle, or neither team will be the first to score 21 points in the Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to one of the three possible outcomes: San Francisco scoring 21 points first, Seattle scoring 21 points first, or neither team reaching 21 points at all during the full game, including any overtime periods. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the official final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The resolution hinges solely on the first team to reach the 21-point threshold, with no consideration given to the overall game outcome beyond this specific scoring milestone.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome—in this case, either San Francisco or Seattle reaching 21 points first. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Higher demand for a contract drives up its price, indicating a greater perceived chance of that outcome occurring, while increased selling pressure lowers the price.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, San Francisco or Seattle, officially reaches 21 points first during the game. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning team and the outcome of this market. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure an accurate and fair settlement for all participants.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes in team strategy for either San Francisco or Seattle would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected performance in earlier games leading up to the event could also shift expectations and impact the odds. Even broader factors, such as weather conditions or public sentiment, could play a role, though likely to a lesser extent. Significant trading volume spikes, driven by new information or a shift in market sentiment, are also strong indicators of potential price movement.