TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sports
San Francisco vs Seattle: Player Longest Reception
kalshi

What is the result of San Francisco vs Seattle?

Volume:
$2,964

Jaxon Smith-Njigba: over 24.5 yards

 - Kalshi

Jaxon Smith-Njigba: over 24.5 yards - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 7:51 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jaxon Smith-Njigba: over 24.5 yards

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,610
N/A
N/A
$1,537
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rashid Shaheed: over 13.5 yards

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$322
N/A
N/A
$269
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Emanuel Wilson: over 8.5 yards

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$276
N/A
N/A
$276
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mike Evans: over 20.5 yards

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$215
N/A
N/A
$215
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Christian McCaffrey: over 14.5 yards

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$234
N/A
N/A
$184
Settled
No
kalshi

Cooper Kupp: over 13.5 yards

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$96
N/A
N/A
$96
Settled
No
kalshi

Deebo Samuel Sr.: over 16.5 yards

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$96
N/A
N/A
$95
Settled
No
kalshi

George Kittle: over 20.5 yards

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
No
kalshi

AJ Barner: over 12.5 yards

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

Tory Horton: over 8.5 yards

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks whether specific players from both teams achieve a longest reception exceeding set yardage thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each market focuses on an individual player's performance, evaluating if their longest catch goes beyond a predetermined yardage mark.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple individual player markets to determine if each specified player records a longest reception exceeding their respective yardage thresholds during the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. For each player market, if the athlete records a reception longer than the stated threshold, that market resolves to Yes. If a player is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolution depends solely on whether their longest reception in the game exceeds the specified yardage. All markets operate independently, with each player's performance assessed separately against their individual thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL longest reception market tracks the current odds for each player, the price history of those odds, and the 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the market is valuing each player's potential to have the longest reception in the game. Currently, the total volume for this market is $2,964, with $2,870 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to gauge interest and potential shifts in sentiment surrounding different players.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge due to specialized information, the continuous trading in this market can lead to surprisingly accurate forecasts as new information becomes available and is incorporated into the prices.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in a player achieving the longest reception. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, injuries, and other factors, leading to dynamic price movements. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities driven by market participants.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception in the specified game, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning outcome. The official NFL game statistics will be used to determine the longest reception, and the market will settle based on that verified data. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results and confirmation of the resolution.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift the odds. A key player being ruled out would likely increase the chances of other players, while favorable matchups could boost specific players’ probabilities. Unexpected announcements about playing time or formations could also cause substantial movement. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about team news will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential shifts in this market.