TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sports
San Francisco vs Seattle: Passing Touchdowns
kalshi

What is the result of San Francisco vs Seattle?

Volume:
$149,461

Brock Purdy: 2+

 - Kalshi

Brock Purdy: 2+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 7:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Brock Purdy: 2+

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$43,589
N/A
N/A
$39,890
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 1+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,470
N/A
N/A
$23,301
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brock Purdy: 1+

100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,801
N/A
N/A
$14,615
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 2+

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,483
N/A
N/A
$20,063
Settled
No
kalshi

Brock Purdy: 4+

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,826
N/A
N/A
$15,871
Settled
No
kalshi

Brock Purdy: 3+

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,732
N/A
N/A
$10,930
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 3+

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,218
N/A
N/A
$4,847
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 4+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,341
N/A
N/A
$3,182
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

These markets track the performance of quarterbacks Sam Darnold and Brock Purdy in an upcoming football game between San Francisco and Seattle. The outcomes depend on how many passing touchdowns each quarterback throws during the match, with different thresholds defining various market resolutions.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns thrown by either Sam Darnold or Brock Purdy in the specified game. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual passing touchdowns recorded during the game. All markets are independent and evaluate different touchdown thresholds for each quarterback, meaning each market has its own resolution criteria based on the specific number of touchdowns required.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL passing touchdowns market tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes for the number of passing touchdowns scored in the specified game. You’ll find a price history chart to visualize how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $144,633. The total volume traded on this market is $149,461. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential opportunities based on price fluctuations and trading activity related to this specific event.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their analysis and aim to balance betting action, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of various outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply the collective intelligence of traders participating in this market. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available buy and sell orders at various price points, providing insight into potential price movements and trading opportunities for the NFL passing touchdowns market.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored in the game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and verification of the official results, allowing for a clear understanding of the market’s outcome.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about quarterback availability or defensive matchups are likely to cause significant price movements. Additionally, any updates from reliable sources regarding the teams’ game plans or offensive approaches could impact the perceived probabilities of different outcomes in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.