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Closed: Oct 11, 7:17 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming Pro Football game between San Francisco and Seattle, analysts are watching whether both teams manage to score points in every quarter of regulation time. This includes any scoring plays such as touchdowns, field goals, or safeties. The outcome will depend solely on the performance during the standard four quarters, with overtime scores excluded from consideration.
If San Francisco and Seattle both score points in every quarter of regulation of the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and team performance, this market can react more quickly to unforeseen circumstances or late-breaking news, potentially offering a different perspective on the event’s outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of the event occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments, creating a real-time assessment of the potential for both teams to score in every quarter of the game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the San Francisco and Seattle teams score in each quarter of the game. The final score will be checked against official game statistics to determine if the conditions for a 'yes' outcome have been met. The result will be based on the official game records and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the San Francisco vs Seattle game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either team would likely have a significant impact, as would changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game's style of play. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy could also move the market. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the teams' offensive capabilities could play a role. A strong performance by either team in their preceding games might also increase confidence in their ability to score consistently, impacting trading activity.