TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the interplay between the first half and full game outcomes in an upcoming football match between San Francisco and Seattle. They evaluate whether specific combinations of first half and full game results occur, providing insight into potential game dynamics and shifts.
The markets resolve based on the combined results of both the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' both the specified first half result and the specified full game result must occur exactly as described in the respective primary rule. If either the first half or full game result does not match the condition outlined, the market resolves to 'No.' Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within the 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price. All outcomes are determined solely by the official game results, and no partial credit or alternative interpretations are considered.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available and opinions evolve, the odds on Kalshi may converge with or diverge from sportsbook odds. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially as the event draws closer, as traders actively adjust their positions based on new developments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top market on Kalshi is Seattle wins 1st Half / San Francisco wins game, though probabilities are subject to change based on trading activity and new information.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Francisco vs Seattle match, specifically the winner of the first half and the full game as determined by official game statistics. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out, and at what value. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in other games leading up to the San Francisco vs Seattle match might also impact perceptions of team strength. Major announcements about coaching changes or key player availability would also be catalysts. Monitoring sports news and analysis will be crucial for understanding potential movements in this market before Oct 11, 2026.