TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of both teams in a specific football game, focusing on how many times each team successfully tackles the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcomes depend purely on the game's defensive plays, not the final score.
All markets resolve based on the official number of sacks recorded by each team during the San Francisco vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Sacks made during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all calculations. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The resolution hinges solely on the defensive performance metrics of each team, specifically the total sacks achieved, without regard to the game's offensive outcomes or final score.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. While sportsbooks may incorporate expert opinions and proprietary models, this market benefits from a diverse range of perspectives. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event date. Examining these differences can reveal insights into market expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices converge to represent the aggregated belief about the likelihood of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment. The market depth and order book provide further insights into trading activity and potential price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded in the San Francisco versus Atlanta game will determine the winning outcome. Official NFL statistics will be used to verify the total sacks. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the contract terms at the time of their trade. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Injury reports for key offensive linemen or defensive players on either team would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the game and, consequently, the number of sacks. News regarding coaching strategies or changes in defensive schemes could also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking information about player availability or team dynamics could trigger substantial movements in this market as traders react to the new data.