TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between San Francisco and Atlanta. Participants can bet on how many rushing yards a designated player will achieve, with payouts increasing progressively as the yardage rises. The structure rewards higher performance with significantly larger returns, creating a direct incentive to predict standout individual performances.
Contracts pay out based on the rushing yards accumulated by designated players in the specified game, using a tiered schedule where each 10-yard increment corresponds to a specific payout value. Payouts for 'Yes' contracts escalate non-linearly, calculated via the formula floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y equals min(200, max(0, 10 x floor(s / 10))) and s represents the official rushing yards. A maximum payout cap of $1.00 applies to 'Yes' contracts, while 'No' contracts receive $1.00 minus the 'Yes' payout, with both subject to adjustment if negative yardage is recorded. The market resolves to 'Yes' following the game’s conclusion.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to exploit perceived mispricings, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage ranges, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price effectively represents the market’s collective forecast for the total rushing yards in the game. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage statistics from the San Francisco versus Atlanta game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally of combined rushing yards from both teams will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game statistics to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either the San Francisco or Atlanta teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or snow is predicted, could also shift expectations about rushing yardage totals. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive adjustments could also move the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal shifts in market sentiment and drive price changes.