TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing yard thresholds for specific players in an upcoming football game, resolving based on whether each athlete meets or exceeds designated yardage milestones during the match.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records the exact threshold of rushing yards or more in the designated game. All markets share uniform secondary rules: if the referenced player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once the player takes at least one snap — even if the play is nullified by penalty — the outcome is determined solely by the total rushing yards they accumulate during the game. These provisions apply consistently across all markets, ensuring uniform treatment of player participation and yardage measurement regardless of the threshold being evaluated.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember they represent different approaches to forecasting the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total rushing yards. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yards total from the San Francisco versus Atlanta game, as reported by official NFL statistics, will determine the outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual rushing yards total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect predictions will not. The market's resolution is based on objective data following the completion of the game.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either the San Francisco or Atlanta teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain or snow is predicted, could also impact the expected rushing totals. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news related to player availability or team dynamics could shift expectations and move the price of contracts in this market.