TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:59 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often specific players will carry the ball during an upcoming football game between San Francisco and Atlanta. Outcomes depend on whether designated players meet or exceed set rushing attempt thresholds. Settlement hinges on actual game performance, with special rules for players who are active but do not participate.
All markets resolve based on the total rushing attempts recorded by specified players during the San Francisco vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. For each market, if the named player achieves the stated threshold of rushing attempts (e.g., 15+ for Bijan Robinson), the market settles to 'Yes'; otherwise, it settles to 'No'. A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if a player is listed as active for the game but does not take a single snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. However, once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether that play is nullified by penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual number of rushing attempts recorded during the game. These provisions ensure that markets reflect real-game participation and performance, avoiding ambiguity from pre-game uncertainty or nullified plays.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular rushing attempts total. It's common to see prediction markets move faster and more efficiently than traditional sportsbooks in response to new information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the group. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is influenced by factors like news reports, injury updates, and overall betting sentiment, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism for the total rushing attempts in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of combined rushing attempts by both the San Francisco and Atlanta teams will be sourced from official game statistics. This data will be used to determine which contracts pay out, based on whether the actual total falls within the ranges defined by the contracts available on Kalshi. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key running backs for either team, such as injuries or changes in playing time, would likely cause price fluctuations. Weather conditions, particularly if rain or snow are forecast, could also influence the game plan and lead to more or fewer rushing attempts. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategy could also move the market. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price changes, reflecting shifts in trader sentiment.