TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of key players in an upcoming football game between San Francisco and Atlanta. Participants can bet on whether specific players will achieve a certain level of receptions, with payouts scaling based on the actual number recorded during the match.
Each market operates as a scalar betting mechanism focused on the number of receptions recorded by a designated player during the San Francisco vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. For each player market, Yes contracts pay $0.05 per reception recorded, up to a maximum payout of $1.00, which corresponds to a cap of 20 receptions. The No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout, ensuring that the total payout for any contract always sums to $1.00 regardless of the outcome. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size, meaning that if a player records, for example, eight receptions, Yes contracts would pay $0.40 and No contracts would pay $0.60. If zero receptions are recorded, Yes pays $0.00 and No pays $1.00. This structure applies uniformly across all five player markets, each independently resolving based on the receptions tallied by the respective player.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying levels of information and participant motivations. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and need to account for a profit margin, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. These differences can create arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for each player involved in the NFL receptions ladder will be sourced from official NFL statistics. The market will settle based on which players surpass specific reception thresholds, as defined by the contracts available for trading. The resolution will be determined by the official NFL statistics available after the conclusion of the relevant games.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries are a major catalyst, as the absence of key receivers would dramatically alter expectations. Changes in team offensive schemes or quarterback performance could also shift the odds. Unexpected trades or depth chart adjustments could also influence the market. Furthermore, news regarding player health, practice participation, or coaching decisions will all be closely monitored by traders and could lead to price movements in this market.