TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
In the San Francisco vs Atlanta matchup, Drake London, Kyle Pitts Sr., Bijan Robinson, George Kittle, and Christian McCaffrey will each have their receptions counted, with specific payout schedules tied to the number of catches each player makes during the game.
If Each Yes contract pays per reception by Drake London in the San Francisco vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. The Yes contracts pay based on this schedule: 0 receptions, $0.0000; 1, $0.0003; 2, $0.0029; 3, $0.0098; 4, $0.0233; 5, $0.0455; 6, $0.0787; 7, $0.1250; 8, $0.1865; 9, $0.2656; 10, $0.3644; 11, $0.4850; 12, $0.6297; 13, $0.8006; 14 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes. If Each Yes contract pays per reception by Kyle Pitts Sr. in the San Francisco vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. The Yes contracts pay based on this schedule: 0 receptions, $0.0000; 1, $0.0003; 2, $0.0029; 3, $0.0098; 4, $0.0233; 5, $0.0455; 6, $0.0787; 7, $0.1250; 8, $0.1865; 9, $0.2656; 10, $0.3644; 11, $0.4850; 12, $0.6297; 13, $0.8006; 14 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes. If Each Yes contract pays per reception by Bijan Robinson in the San Francisco vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. The Yes contracts pay based on this schedule: 0 receptions, $0.0000; 1, $0.0003; 2, $0.0029; 3, $0.0098; 4, $0.0233; 5, $0.0455; 6, $0.0787; 7, $0.1250; 8, $0.1865; 9, $0.2656; 10, $0.3644; 11, $0.4850; 12, $0.6297; 13, $0.8006; 14 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes. If Each Yes contract pays per reception by George Kittle in the San Francisco vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. The Yes contracts pay based on this schedule: 0 receptions, $0.0000; 1, $0.0003; 2, $0.0029; 3, $0.0098; 4, $0.0233; 5, $0.0455; 6, $0.0787; 7, $0.1250; 8, $0.1865; 9, $0.2656; 10, $0.3644; 11, $0.4850; 12, $0.6297; 13, $0.8006; 14 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes. If Each Yes contract pays per reception by Christian McCaffrey in the San Francisco vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. The Yes contracts pay based on this schedule: 0 receptions, $0.0000; 1, $0.0003; 2, $0.0029; 3, $0.0098; 4, $0.0233; 5, $0.0455; 6, $0.0787; 7, $0.1250; 8, $0.1865; 9, $0.2656; 10, $0.3644; 11, $0.4850; 12, $0.6297; 13, $0.8006; 14 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to express their own beliefs about the outcome. While sportsbooks may initially be more influenced by public perception, this market can sometimes incorporate more nuanced information as it approaches the event. It's common to see convergence between the two as the event date nears, but discrepancies can still exist, offering potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book are visible on the platform, providing insight into the supply and demand for each potential result. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for the San Francisco and Atlanta game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official NFL statistics, ensuring accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the San Francisco or Atlanta teams, particularly wide receivers or quarterbacks, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected passing volume and thus the number of receptions. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in market sentiment.