TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by specific players in an upcoming football game between San Francisco and Atlanta. The outcome depends on whether designated players meet or exceed certain reception thresholds during the match.
All markets in this event are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff unless the player records the required number of receptions. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half participation. Penalties that nullify a play do not count toward receptions, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and all statistics include overtime periods.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks typically set odds to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more accurate as more information becomes available and more traders participate. However, sportsbook odds can offer a useful benchmark for comparison, especially before significant market activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people buy contracts predicting a specific number of receptions, the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of receptions achieved by players in the San Francisco versus Atlanta game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts following the official completion of the game and verification of the data.
Several factors could influence this market. News regarding player injuries to key receivers on either team would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that might favor passing or running plays, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or changes in quarterback performance could also shift probabilities. Finally, any significant public discussion or analysis of the game’s potential reception totals could drive volume and influence the price of contracts in this market.