TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks individual player performance in an upcoming football game, focusing on specific receiving yard thresholds for various players. Each market resolves based on whether the designated player achieves the stated yardage milestone during the game.
All markets resolve based on the receiving yards accumulated by specified players in the San Francisco vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the actual receiving yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of player performance against the specified thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks may initially set lines to balance betting action, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the most likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises prices, while increased selling pressure lowers them. The closer we get to the event, the more volatile prices may become as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals from the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual receiving yards achieved by the players in the specified matchup. It’s important to note that the official statistics released by the NFL will be the determining factor for resolution, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the game progresses and the final statistics are reported.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or the opposing team’s defensive strategies would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in player roles could further move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could sway trader sentiment and alter the probabilities reflected in the prices.