TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance metrics in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve predetermined receiving yard thresholds. The markets will resolve based on official game statistics, with protections for non-participation or partial participation during the match.
All markets resolve based on the official receiving yards accumulated by specified players (Jahan Dotson, Drake London, Kyle Pitts Sr., and Bijan Robinson) in the San Francisco vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a threshold (ranging from 15+ to 160+ yards) that, if met or exceeded by the respective player, results in a 'Yes' resolution. Contracts are designated as 'protected,' meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but not after, the contract resolves to the fair price unless the threshold is met. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count toward participation. Players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. All thresholds apply to full-game receiving yards, including overtime. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment differs from expert analysis. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or key players are impacted by injury. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into the potential for value in either market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different receiving yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual receiving yards will fall within that range, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, injuries, and other factors, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals for the specified game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage totals, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to see the official results reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the data is verified. The market’s resolution is based on the official statistics and not on any subjective interpretation.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions, could also affect the expected passing volume and, consequently, receiving yards. Unexpected coaching decisions or changes in offensive strategies could also play a role. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could influence traders’ expectations and lead to price adjustments in this market.