TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 35 points in an upcoming professional football game between San Francisco and Atlanta. It captures the dynamic nature of the game by focusing on the pace at which each team scores, rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on the first team to hit that specific scoring milestone, or neither if the threshold isn't reached.
The event determines the first team to score 35 points in the San Francisco vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. If either San Francisco or Atlanta reaches 35 points first during the full game, including any overtime periods, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this milestone, the 'Neither Team' market resolves to Yes. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, trading continues and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not commence within 48 hours of the scheduled start, the market resolves to a fair price. These rules ensure clarity and fairness in resolving the outcome based on actual game progress and official results.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of each team reaching 35 points. It’s common to see this market odds shift in response to news and analysis, potentially offering different insights than traditional sportsbooks. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can occur based on differing information and perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome – in this case, either San Francisco or Atlanta reaching 35 points first. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective beliefs of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to accurately represent the perceived likelihood of each team’s performance.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, San Francisco or Atlanta, reaches 35 points first during the game. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by trusted sports data sources. The final score will be the determining factor, and the market will settle to 100 for the winning team and 0 for the losing team.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions during the game could also shift the odds, as could significant in-game performance by either team. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role, though to a lesser extent. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team reaching 35 points first has the potential to move this market.