TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 1:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the earlier milestone of 14 points in the same San Francisco versus Atlanta football game. The first team to reach this score will determine the outcome, with the alternative being that neither team achieves it within regulation or overtime periods.
The market resolves based on which team first scores 14 points in the San Francisco vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If Atlanta scores 14 points before San Francisco, the Atlanta market resolves to Yes. If San Francisco scores 14 points before Atlanta, the San Francisco market resolves to Yes. If neither team scores 14 points in the full game, including overtime, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to trade based on their own insights, leading to probabilities that can diverge from traditional betting markets. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information and perspectives that sportsbooks may not fully account for, especially regarding nuanced factors influencing the game's outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to reflect the latest insights and expectations surrounding the San Francisco vs Atlanta game. The current implied probabilities are determined by the prices of these contracts.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—San Francisco or Atlanta—reaches 14 points first during the game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and scoring data. The platform will verify the results against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions based on the final outcome.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather conditions affecting the game, or even significant pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators, could also influence trader behavior. Furthermore, as the game progresses, real-time scoring updates and in-game performance will be major catalysts, leading to rapid adjustments in the probabilities. Public sentiment and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks could also indirectly affect trading activity on Kalshi.