TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which player achieves the longest rushing play in an upcoming football game between San Francisco and Atlanta. Each market focuses on a specific player and a minimum yardage threshold they need to surpass for their respective outcome to be considered successful.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified player records a longest rush exceeding the defined yardage threshold in the San Francisco vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the longest rush actually recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all individual player markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of each participant's performance against their respective thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the diverse perspectives and information of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the odds in this market may move more quickly than those at sportsbooks, potentially offering more accurate probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before the event begins, as the market digests new data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in a particular player having the longest rush. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels, shows the level of conviction among traders. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of each player achieving the longest rush.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt during the San Francisco versus Atlanta game will be declared the winner. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the longest rush. Any ties will be handled according to the platform’s rules, which are available on Kalshi.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or snow is predicted, could also influence the market, as these conditions often favor a more run-heavy offensive strategy. Unexpected coaching decisions or reports about a player’s workload could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could affect trader sentiment and alter the probabilities.