TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing performance thresholds for quarterbacks in an upcoming professional football game. It focuses on whether specific players achieve designated numbers of completed passes during the match, reflecting offensive efficiency and game dynamics.
All markets in this event resolve based on the number of passing completions achieved by designated quarterbacks during the San Francisco vs Atlanta Professional Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. For each market, if the named quarterback records the specified minimum number of completions (15+, 20+, or 25+ for Michael Penix Jr., and 16+, 21+, or 26+ for Brock Purdy), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual number of passing completions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets in this event, ensuring consistent resolution criteria for each passing-completion threshold specified.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a broader range of information and participant perspectives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set lines based on models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities differ from those offered by sportsbooks, potentially offering opportunities for value depending on your own assessment of the game. It’s important to compare and contrast to inform your decisions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their prediction is correct, and it’s a dynamic reflection of evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of passing completions achieved during the San Francisco versus Atlanta game will be the determining factor. The resolution will be based on the official data released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor a running game over passing, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions could cause the market to react. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.