TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess how many points will be scored by both teams combined in the final quarter of a football game, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a different threshold, allowing participants to speculate on the exact level of scoring intensity in the last quarter of play.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both San Francisco and Atlanta during the 4th quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a specific threshold: 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, 10.5, 13.5, 14.5, 17.5, 20.5, 21.5, or 24.5 points. If the combined score exceeds the respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during regulation time of the 4th quarter count, with overtime points excluded from all calculations. The markets are independent, meaning each threshold operates separately, allowing for varied outcomes depending on the final score.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of forecasters. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or breaking news. While sportsbooks may initially lean heavily on statistical models and expert analysis, this market can quickly incorporate new information and adjust based on the collective intelligence of its participants. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in forecasting outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies. The current price represents the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi regarding the total points scored in the 4th quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 4th quarter between San Francisco and Atlanta will be used to determine whether the total points scored fall above or below the threshold defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be paid out or have their funds forfeited based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key players on either team would be a major catalyst, as the absence of a star quarterback or a dominant defensive player could alter scoring expectations. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the game's pace and scoring. Late-breaking news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions might also cause shifts in the market. Finally, any significant changes in public sentiment or expert analysis could contribute to price movements in this market before Oct 25, 2026.