TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on the performance of San Francisco and Atlanta in the final quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market evaluates different point differentials to determine the outcome based on who wins and by how much during that specific period.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the San Francisco vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the game by more than the stated point margin during that quarter. Only points scored in the 4th quarter count, and overtime periods are excluded from consideration. The markets cover a range of thresholds for both teams, allowing participants to bet on varying degrees of dominance in the final quarter.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with, but sometimes diverging from, traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, incorporating factors like team performance and injuries. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. While there's often a correlation, differences can emerge as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news than sportsbooks, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the fourth quarter of the San Francisco versus Atlanta game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be the basis for settlement. Traders who correctly predicted the final spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the San Francisco or Atlanta teams would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Major strategic adjustments announced by either coaching staff, or even significant shifts in public sentiment driven by media coverage, could all contribute to movement in this market. The closer we get to Oct 25, 2026, the more sensitive it will be to even minor developments.