TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both San Francisco and Atlanta teams during the second quarter of their upcoming football game. Participants assess how high-scoring the second quarter will be, with various thresholds determining different outcomes.
These markets determine whether the combined points scored by San Francisco and Atlanta during the second quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market features a different threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. For any given market, if the total points scored by both teams in the second quarter strictly exceeds the market's threshold, it resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the second quarter count, and all markets share this same resolution criterion. The varying thresholds allow participants to make nuanced predictions about the scoring pace in that specific quarter.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and are not guarantees of the actual event outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 2nd quarter total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific total occurring. Traders can take either the 'buy' (yes) or 'sell' (no) side of a particular outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders interact, establishing a real-time assessment of the likely score during the second quarter. The more contracts purchased for a specific total, the higher its price will climb, indicating increased confidence in that outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 2nd quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official score, as reported by the governing sports league, will be used to determine the winning contracts. Traders who correctly predicted the 2nd quarter total will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date to stay informed of any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Key player injuries or unexpected changes in team strategy could significantly shift expectations regarding scoring potential. Pre-game news regarding weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the game, could also move the market. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can play a role in influencing trader behavior. Any significant development leading up to and during the game has the potential to alter the perceived probability of different 2nd quarter totals.