TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate the total points scored by both teams in the second half of an upcoming football game, including any overtime periods. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a success.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both San Francisco and Atlanta in the second half (including overtime) of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold: if the combined second-half points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The thresholds range from 3.5 points to 42.5 points in increments, allowing participants to assess different levels of scoring intensity for the second half of the game. Only points scored during the second half and any overtime periods count toward these markets; points from the first half are excluded. The markets are independent of each other, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately according to its own criteria.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of many individuals. However, sportsbook odds often incorporate a 'vig' or commission, while Kalshi allows traders to directly bet against each other. It's common to see this market’s implied probabilities diverge from initial sportsbook lines, especially as more information becomes available and the event draws closer. Comparing the two can reveal insights into public perception versus professional analysis, but remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 2nd half total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe the total will be over a certain number, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 2nd half of the San Francisco versus Atlanta game will be used to determine whether the total points scored were above or below the threshold defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual outcome.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either San Francisco or Atlanta would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the price. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also play a role. Finally, as the game approaches, any shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.