TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 1:20 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting which San Francisco player or unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming football game against Atlanta. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defense, with outcomes determined by who crosses the goal line first for San Francisco.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified San Francisco player or unit scores the first touchdown of the game. If the designated player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair pre-game price. Once a snap occurs, resolution depends solely on whether that player scores the first touchdown. If no San Francisco touchdowns are scored, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all player-specific markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all player and unit markets for the game.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. You may find that this market’s implied probability diverges from sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s important to compare both to form your own informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the first San Francisco touchdown will occur. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, giving you an idea of how much conviction exists behind various predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on determining which team scores the first touchdown in the game between San Francisco and Atlanta. The official game records will be used to determine the outcome, and the market will settle to 100 for 'yes' if San Francisco scores first, and 0 for 'no' if Atlanta scores first or if no touchdowns are scored.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either San Francisco or Atlanta would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor a run-heavy or pass-heavy offense, could also impact the market. Game-day developments, such as early drives or defensive strategies, will also be closely watched. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can shift the price, reflecting a sudden change in market sentiment regarding the first San Francisco touchdown.