TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:57 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-10-11 20:25 UTC: If the San Francisco 49ers win, the market will resolve to "San Francisco 49ers". If the Seattle Seahawks win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Seahawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-10-11 20:25 UTC: If the San Francisco 49ers win, the market will resolve to "San Francisco 49ers". If the Seattle Seahawks win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Seahawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Opinion, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently and accurately as new information becomes available, potentially offering an edge over traditional betting options.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb. Conversely, if sentiment shifts against an outcome, the price will decrease. This dynamic pricing ensures the market constantly adjusts to new information and insights.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the San Francisco 49ers versus Seattle Seahawks game. The platform will verify the final score against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the incorrect outcome will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Key player injuries or changes in team lineups would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected news regarding team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in other games that affect playoff positioning could indirectly influence this market as well. Any new information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely be reflected in the trading activity on Opinion.