TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 12:17 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific San Diego players successfully steal bases during a scheduled baseball game against Milwaukee. The outcome hinges on individual player performance in a single matchup, with specific conditions around player participation and plate appearances affecting settlement.
The event resolves based on whether any of the three designated San Diego players—Fernando Tatis Jr., Jackson Merrill, or Manny Machado—records at least one stolen base during the game originally scheduled for October 3, 2026. If any player meets this criterion while recording at least one plate appearance as a starter, the market resolves accordingly. Players who are scratched, not in the starting lineup, or fail to record a plate appearance will result in the market resolving to the fair market price, regardless of later entry or pinch-hitting situations. The settlement strictly considers official stolen base statistics from the game, with no affiliation to the governing league implied.