TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a professional baseball game scheduled for a specific date and time, where the outcome depends on whether a team scores during the first inning of play. The focus is on the game's early stages, highlighting the importance of early performance in determining the event's result. The contest is part of the regular season for the sport.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the San Diego vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a certain outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market, as information and opinions evolve. Analyzing these differences can reveal potential value.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether more or less than 0.5 runs are scored in the first inning of the San Diego versus Milwaukee game. Official game statistics will be used to determine the final result. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market. Late-breaking news regarding starting pitchers, key player injuries, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Any significant changes to the projected lineups for either team would likely cause movement. Additionally, public perception and analysis from baseball experts could impact the market as new information becomes available. Monitoring these signals and understanding their potential impact is crucial for informed trading in this market.