TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:25 PM EST
Kalshi
The description focuses on a professional baseball game between two teams, originally scheduled for a specific date and time. The event's outcome depends on whether the game extends beyond the standard nine innings. This occurrence would significantly alter the game's duration and structure.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the San Diego vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or public betting patterns. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into where the crowd believes the true probability lies, compared to professional oddsmakers.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the San Diego vs Milwaukee game, including any extra innings played. The platform will verify the result against official sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in starting pitchers, or weather forecasts could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance from key players during the game itself will also be a major catalyst. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment or the release of advanced statistical analysis could drive trading activity and alter the market’s pricing. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential movements in the market leading up to Oct 4, 2026.