TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead after the first half of a college football game between San Diego and Dayton. It focuses solely on the performance during the initial 30 minutes of play, ignoring the final outcome of the full game. The result depends entirely on who holds the points advantage at that specific midpoint.
If Dayton wins the 1st half of the San Diego vs Dayton college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If San Diego wins the 1st half of the San Diego vs Dayton college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st half of the San Diego vs Dayton college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by experts. Sportsbooks establish odds to balance betting action and ensure profitability, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a team’s chances, they can buy or sell contracts here, driving the price towards what they perceive as the true probability. This dynamic can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a 100% payout if the corresponding outcome occurs. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome happening. For example, a contract trading at 60 means you’d pay 60 to receive 100 if that team wins the first half. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; more buyers push the price up, while more sellers drive it down, creating a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the first half of the San Diego vs Dayton game will be declared the winner of this market. The official score at halftime, as reported by official game sources, will determine the winning outcome. No further information regarding settlement details will be provided beyond this verification process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the San Diego or Dayton teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance during recent games, coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or starting lineups right before the game are also likely to cause volatility. Public perception and any shifts in betting patterns observed elsewhere could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.