TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 10:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between the San Diego Toreros and the New Mexico State Aggies, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game.
This event is for the WBB game between San Diego Toreros and New Mexico State Aggies on November 2 at 8:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the women's college basketball game originally scheduled for November 2, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade and express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. However, both aim to accurately predict the outcome, and comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making regarding this market.
Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Kalshi due to a variety of factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Differences in liquidity, or the volume of trading activity, can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the way each platform handles margin requirements and order types can impact how traders behave. While both platforms ultimately aim to reflect the true probability of the outcome, these differences can lead to temporary variations in pricing.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected team performance in preceding games could influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in other relevant games, or shifts in public perception of either team’s strength, could also play a role. Additionally, large-volume trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi can create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential shifts in the market’s assessment of the game’s outcome.