TOTAL VOLUME:
$155b
24H VOL:
$291,703,288
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,001,463,625
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,957,545,529
414,484
Markets across
39,701
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,434
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football matchup between San Diego State and Oregon State. It focuses solely on performance during the last 15 minutes of regulation time, ignoring any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on who holds the scoring advantage in that specific segment of the game.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points during the fourth quarter of regulation play in the San Diego State versus Oregon State college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. If Oregon State scores more points in the fourth quarter, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. If San Diego State scores more points in the fourth quarter, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points in the fourth quarter, the Tie market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the fourth quarter of regulation count; overtime points are excluded from consideration. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of professionals, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors a particular outcome. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the perceived probabilities surrounding the San Diego St. vs Oregon St. game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current volume traded provides insight into how actively this market is being assessed by participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the 4th quarter of the San Diego St. vs Oregon St. game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official results will be used to determine which outcome satisfies the market conditions. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information and established game results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Key injuries to star players on either the San Diego St. or Oregon St. teams would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could also shift expectations. Furthermore, real-time performance during the game itself – such as a strong start by one team or a critical turnover – will undoubtedly drive changes in the market as traders react to the unfolding events. Any late-breaking news related to the game could also move this market.