TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the second half of a college football game between San Diego State and Oregon State. It specifically tracks performance from halftime onward, including any overtime periods, to decide the outcome.
If Oregon St. wins the 2nd half (including overtime) of the San Diego St. vs Oregon St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If San Diego St. wins the 2nd half (including overtime) of the San Diego St. vs Oregon St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd half (including overtime) of the San Diego St. vs Oregon St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective prediction of informed traders. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional point spreads or moneyline odds, especially when considering the 'wisdom of the crowd'. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by public betting patterns and promotional offers, leading to potential discrepancies. It’s useful to compare both to get a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the San Diego St. vs Oregon St. game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in whether San Diego St. will win the 2nd half. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for San Diego St., the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the evolving consensus of the market participants. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of San Diego St. winning the second half of the game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the 2nd half of the San Diego St. vs Oregon St. game will determine the outcome of this market. The result will be verified against official game statistics and reporting from trusted sports news sources. The platform will then distribute payouts to traders who correctly predicted the 2nd half winner, based on their contract holdings at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the game’s progress leading up to the final score.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the San Diego St. or Oregon St. teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team strategy or unexpected performance in the first half of the game could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, late-breaking news about weather conditions or referee assignments could introduce uncertainty and volatility. Public perception, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role in driving trading activity and influencing the price of contracts.