TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second half of an upcoming college football game, including any overtime periods. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered successful.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the San Diego St. vs Oregon St. college football game scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. For markets where Oregon State must win by a specified margin, resolution occurs only if Oregon State achieves that margin or greater in the second half alone. Conversely, markets requiring San Diego State to win by a certain margin resolve only if San Diego State meets or exceeds that margin in the second half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning no party benefits disproportionately from the cancellation. The markets are strictly concerned with second-half performance, rendering first-half scores irrelevant to resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the game. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the San Diego St. vs Oregon St. game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. If Oregon State wins by more than the spread, contracts will settle at 100; otherwise, they will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and final score.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could cause the market to react. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators may also play a role in influencing traders’ decisions and, therefore, the price of contracts.