TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a college football game between San Diego State and Oregon State scheduled for October 10, 2026. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win the contest. The resolution depends solely on the official game result, with specific guidelines for postponements or cancellations.
The market resolves based on the official result of the San Diego State versus Oregon State college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final outcome. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take a position in this market, driving the price towards their perceived fair value. This dynamic can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate probabilities than those found at sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the game’s potential results. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome happens.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Diego State vs Oregon State game as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a win for San Diego State or a win for Oregon State – is the correct one based on the final score and official game statistics. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either team would likely cause significant movement, as would any major changes in team strategy or coaching decisions. Unexpected news regarding team morale or off-field issues could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or updated statistical models, could lead to adjustments in the market price as traders react to the new information.