TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold, and the outcome depends on whether the team's actual score meets or exceeds that threshold.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals of San Diego State (SDSU) and Colorado State (CSU) in their college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated threshold (e.g., CSU over 9.5 points), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks often set initial odds to balance their risk, while this market allows participants to freely trade based on their own analysis and information. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting action, this market continuously updates as traders buy and sell contracts, potentially offering a more dynamic and accurate forecast of the final team totals.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders bid to buy and ask to sell contracts representing the probability of each team exceeding their respective point totals. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of each outcome. The current top market on Kalshi is for Colorado St. over 19.5 points scored.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team scores are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics reported by the governing body of college football for the San Diego St. vs Colorado St. game. The market will determine which team totals exceeded their respective point thresholds as defined by the contracts available for trading. The outcome will be determined by the official scoring of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either San Diego St. or Colorado St. would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any late-breaking news regarding team morale or internal issues, could all contribute to shifts in the market’s assessment of the likely team totals.