TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:18 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the outcome of the fourth quarter in a college football game between San Diego State and Colorado State. Each market corresponds to a different point margin threshold that must be achieved by either team during that specific quarter to resolve as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the San Diego St. vs Colorado St. college football game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the specified point margin threshold for that market during this quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only the 4th quarter points count, and overtime points are excluded from all calculations.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market’s price is driven by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated a tendency to be more accurate than traditional polls or even sportsbook odds, as they aggregate diverse perspectives and incentivize informed trading. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly as new information becomes available, potentially diverging from fixed sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, order-book style exchange. Traders buy 'yes' contracts, predicting San Diego St. will cover the spread, and sell 'no' contracts, predicting Colorado St. will cover or exceed it. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the probability of San Diego St. covering the spread, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a collective assessment of the likely result, influenced by available information and expert analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the San Diego St. vs Colorado St. game, and this market will pay out based on whether San Diego St. covered the spread as defined by the contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and final score, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, reflected in betting patterns, will directly impact the price of this market as traders adjust their positions.