TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between San Diego State and Colorado State. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that must be exceeded by either team during that quarter to resolve as a win.
These markets resolve based on the point differential achieved by either San Diego State or Colorado State during the third quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team for a 'Yes' resolution. Only points scored in the third quarter count toward these outcomes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of expected outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of contracts available at different price points, can also provide insights into the level of conviction behind various outcomes. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final spread and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final 3rd quarter spread of the San Diego St. vs Colorado St. game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official results reported by the governing sports organization, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the San Diego St. or Colorado St. teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather conditions could also impact expectations. Furthermore, any news regarding team morale, player suspensions, or significant shifts in public perception could all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on market movements.