TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines the winner of the second quarter in the San Diego State versus Colorado State college football game. It covers three possible outcomes: Colorado State winning, San Diego State winning, or a tie in points scored during that quarter.
Markets resolve if Colorado State, San Diego State, or neither team (tie) scores more points in the second quarter. Only second-quarter points count. Postponements within 48 hours allow markets to resolve based on the official result; delays beyond that result in a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many individual traders. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, information access, or simply the collective intelligence expressed through trading activity in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the second quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can take either the 'yes' or 'no' side of the market, and the price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. Higher demand for a particular outcome will drive its price up, indicating a greater perceived probability, while increased selling pressure will lower the price.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second quarter of the San Diego St vs Colorado St game will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results as reported by authoritative sports sources. Traders will be able to view the confirmed outcome on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and official verification of the second-quarter results.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in the first quarter of the game, or even pre-game reports on team morale, could also cause significant shifts in the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. These signals can lead to increased volume and price fluctuations in this market.