TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This market identifies the winner of the first quarter, including the possibilities of Colorado State winning, San Diego State winning, or a tie in points. The result hinges on which team leads after the first quarter ends.
Markets resolve if Colorado State, San Diego State, or neither team (tie) scores more points in the first quarter. Only first-quarter points count. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours, markets resolve based on the official result; otherwise, they resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of professionals, while this market benefits from the input of many participants. It’s common to see discrepancies arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into public perception and potential value bets, but remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the first quarter. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth and spread can provide additional insights into the confidence levels associated with each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team won the first quarter of the San Diego St. vs Colorado St. game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result and the subsequent settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the San Diego St. or Colorado St. teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment and drive price fluctuations. Public perception, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also contribute to market movement.