TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the point differential in favor of San Diego State or Colorado State specifically during the first quarter of their game. Various margins from 2.5 to 10.5 points are considered for each team.
Markets resolve if San Diego State wins the first quarter by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points, or if Colorado State wins by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points. Only first-quarter points count. Postponements within 48 hours allow resolution based on the official result; delays beyond that lead to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Frequently, prediction markets can offer more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds remain a valuable point of comparison when evaluating this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the San Diego St. vs Colorado St. spread. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the spread, and their actions directly influence the price, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates what percentage of the spread traders believe will occur.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the first quarter of the San Diego St. vs Colorado St. game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions and the actual result of the first quarter spread.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. News regarding key player injuries for either San Diego St. or Colorado St. would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the passing or running game, could also shift the spread. Unexpected announcements related to team strategy or coaching decisions might also impact trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public information released about team morale or preparation could move this market as traders adjust their predictions.