TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the San Diego Padres or Milwaukee Brewers will win their upcoming MLB game on October 3 at 8:30PM ET, with a focus on the first 5 innings over/under 3.5 runs. Currently, the market on Polymarket assigns a 100.0% probability to “San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5”. Resolution will be based on the final game results reported at https://www.mlb.com/scores. Keep a close watch on the game’s progress on October 3, as the outcome will be determined by the results of that single contest.
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for October 3 at 8:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting biases or promotional offers, while this market relies on the wisdom of the crowd. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing these odds can provide a broader understanding of potential outcomes and highlight areas where the market may disagree with conventional wisdom. Keep in mind that prediction markets allow for more nuanced predictions than simple win/loss bets.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Diego Padres versus Milwaukee Brewers game as reported by a major sports data provider. The final result will determine which shares pay out, and the value of those shares at resolution will reflect the accuracy of the market’s predictions. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in pitching matchups, or weather forecasts could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected performance from either team in preceding games, or even broader MLB news, might also impact trader sentiment. Major announcements related to team strategy or player availability are likely to cause volatility. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on shifts in the market’s assessment of the game’s outcome.