TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 2:12 AM EST
Predict
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for October 9 at 4:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for October 9 at 4:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, as they aggregate diverse perspectives and are incentivized to be correct. However, sportsbook odds still represent a significant benchmark and can offer valuable context when analyzing this market.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure there's always a bid and ask price, facilitating smooth trading and price discovery. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the San Diego Padres versus Milwaukee Brewers game will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure a fair and definitive settlement for all participants in this market. Traders will be able to see the confirmed result and any relevant details on the platform following resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in the starting pitchers, or even weather forecasts could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected lineup announcements or reports about team morale can also impact trading activity. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage leading up to the game can influence how traders assess the likelihood of each outcome. Major shifts in betting patterns or large volume trades on Predict could also indicate changing sentiment and cause the market to move.