TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for October 4 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for October 4 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook adjustments, especially as new information emerges. Polls and analysts’ predictions frequently align more closely with the probabilities expressed in this market than with initial sportsbook offerings, as they also attempt to forecast based on available data and insights.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, offering a real-time assessment of the game’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the San Diego Padres versus Milwaukee Brewers game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game results, including any potential postponements or adjustments made by the league. Traders will be able to see the confirmed outcome and any relevant details on Predict after the event concludes and the results are verified.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game is played. Any news regarding key player injuries, starting pitcher changes, or weather forecasts impacting the game could cause substantial shifts in the odds. Unexpected lineup announcements or reports of team morale issues could also move the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one particular outcome – can also drive price changes. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market effectively.