TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:37 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance gap between San Diego FC and Seattle in an upcoming MLS soccer match. It focuses on the margin of victory for either team, reflecting how decisively one side may dominate the game. Outcomes are determined by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the goal differential between San Diego FC and Seattle in their professionally sanctioned MLS match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026. All outcomes are evaluated after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' resolution occurs if San Diego wins by more than 2.5 goals, San Diego wins by more than 1.5 goals, Seattle wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Seattle wins by more than 2.5 goals. The governing body for match rules and officiating is the MLS, though Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation or endorsement from the league. All trademarks and branding remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and risk management, while this market represents the collective belief of traders actively buying and selling contracts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations, and may present opportunities for informed traders. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially outperforming traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the San Diego FC vs Seattle match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders dynamically adjust these prices based on new information and their own analysis, creating a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. The current market price indicates what participants believe is the fair probability of a particular result.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the San Diego FC vs Seattle match, as officially recorded by the relevant sporting authorities. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and determine which outcome corresponds to the winning contract. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Oct 25, 2026. Key player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather forecasts, and even significant news coverage could all impact traders’ perceptions of the San Diego FC vs Seattle match. Unexpected announcements regarding team performance or coaching changes could also lead to shifts in the market. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning is likely to drive trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.