TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:42 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the October 24, 2026 professional MLS soccer game between San Diego FC and Seattle will end in a tie. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to a tied result, with Seattle winning at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if San Diego FC wins the match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026.
The markets resolve based on the result of the San Diego FC vs Seattle professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for San Diego FC, Seattle, or Tie markets occurs if the respective team wins or the match ends in a tie within regular time. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds influenced by factors like public betting patterns and house biases. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to express their true beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or analytical approaches. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into the perceived probabilities of various results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the San Diego FC vs Seattle match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current probability assessment of that outcome. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book provide transparency into the supply and demand for each outcome, allowing traders to assess the potential for price movements and make informed decisions. The platform facilitates a dynamic pricing process based on real-time trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Diego FC vs Seattle match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on the final score and declare the corresponding outcome. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 25, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could all lead to price movements. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching changes could also impact the market. Major upsets in related matches or changes in betting trends at sportsbooks might also prompt traders to reassess their positions. Monitoring these signals and events is crucial for understanding potential shifts in market sentiment and identifying trading opportunities.