TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between San Antonio and Orange County. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated match time.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both San Antonio and Orange County in their professional USL Championship soccer match exceed specified thresholds. The match in question is scheduled for October 24, 2026, and only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time count toward the resolution—goals scored during extra time or penalty kicks are excluded. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, with the outcome determined by whether the actual goal count surpasses that threshold. All markets are independent, and each resolves to 'Yes' if the threshold is exceeded, otherwise 'No'. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though each represents a distinct form of forecasting. Keep in mind that prediction markets allow you to take both sides of a bet.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the San Antonio vs Orange County match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to represent a collective prediction. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the current price, while significant price swings suggest evolving expectations. The current top outcome is unavailable.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the San Antonio vs Orange County match will be used to determine the winning contracts. Any goals scored during regulation time and any officially sanctioned overtime periods will count towards the total. The resolution will be based on official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will be able to view the final result and their contract payouts shortly after the match concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the San Antonio or Orange County teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or tactical changes could also play a role. Finally, any major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, may influence trading activity and move the market.