TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional USL Championship soccer match between San Antonio and Orange County, focusing solely on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It allows participants to speculate on which team will secure a victory within regular time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts. The market also includes a specific outcome for a tied result after the same period.
The event determines the winner of the San Antonio vs Orange County professional USL Championship soccer game scheduled for October 24, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for San Antonio, a win for Orange County, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' outcome is triggered. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as per the platform's guidelines. The resolution strictly adheres to the official match result as recognized by the governing league, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any formal affiliation with the league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. As a result, you may find that the odds on Kalshi differ from those at traditional sportsbooks, potentially offering a more accurate signal of the true probability of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on any mispricing they identify in the market.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Antonio vs Orange County match, as reported by a trusted source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It is important to monitor news and official announcements leading up to Oct 25, 2026 to stay informed about any factors that could influence the event's result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding team performance, player injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match location or schedule could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, can influence trading activity on Kalshi. Monitoring these factors and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.